Packers vs. Rams odds, spread, line, predictions: 2021 NFL picks, Week 12 best bets from model on 130-91 run - CBSSports.com

The Green Bay Packers (8-3) are on top of the NFC North despite losing to the Minnesota Vikings on a game-winning field goal last week. They'll look to get back on track in Week 12 when they host the Los Angeles Rams (7-3). The Rams are second to the Arizona Cardinals in the NFC West after suffering back-to-back double-digit losses. Whether they can gain momentum against one of the NFL's best home teams remains to be seen.

Kickoff at Lambeau Field is set for 4:25 p.m. ET. The Rams are two point favorites in the latest Packers vs. Rams odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under is 47. Before locking in your Rams vs. Packers picks, make sure you check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,300 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 12 of the 2021 season on an incredible 130-91 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has simulated Rams vs. Packers 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see them. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Packers vs. Rams:

• Rams vs. Packers spread: Rams -2
• Rams vs. Packers over-under: 47 points
• Rams vs. Packers money line: Packers +115, Rams -135
• LAR: Rams are 4-1 straight-up in their last five road games
• GB: Packers are 10-1 straight-up in their last 11 home games

Why the Rams can cover

Los Angeles's well-rounded defense is equipped to keep teams out of the end zone. While the Rams have given up a total of 59 points in consecutive double-digit losses, they've been exceptional against the pass. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers could need to lean on an aerial attack against an elite secondary.

The Rams have allowed 332 total passing yards over their last two games. Their Jalen Ramsey-led secondary has forked up 12 passing touchdowns all year. Only the Buffalo Bills can beat that mark. Rodgers set a season-high with 285 passing yards and four touchdowns last week, but the offense could be slowed if Aaron Jones misses a second straight game or is limited with a knee injury. A.J. Dillon doesn't have the same pass-catching ability, so Rodgers could have difficulty finding an escape outlet when Aaron Donald and Von Miller are in pursuit.

Why the Packers can cover

No team has covered more than Green Bay this year. The Packers are 9-2 ATS overall and are a perfect 4-0 ATS at home. The Rams have struggled away from So-Fi stadium despite their 4-1 road record, which bodes well for the hosts.

Los Angeles's offense has fallen off a cliff over the last two weeks. The Rams lost their previous two games by 16.5 points, and Matthew Stafford threw two touchdowns with four interceptions in those contests. Cooper Kupp is dominating as the top option in the passing game, but Odell Beckham Jr. hasn't shown signs that he can be a consistent threat now that Robert Woods is out for the season with a torn ACL. Green Bay gives up the seventh-fewest passing yards per game (213.2) in the NFL, and the Packers could get back on track with a win if the Rams' passing struggles persist.

How to make Rams vs. Packers picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under the total, projecting the teams to combine for 44 points. The model also says one side of the spread cashes in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's Packers vs. Rams picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Rams vs. Packers? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Packers vs. Rams spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up almost $7,300 on its NFL picks, and find out.